Carole Monnet vs Alina Charaeva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve points: Recently, Charaeva secured 40.16% of second serve points, slightly outperforming Monnet, who managed 37.35%. Could this small margin influence the match outcome? It might, as there is a strong link between second serve success and match victories.
• Return game performance: Charaeva has excelled slightly more in seizing her opponent’s second serve points, achieving 53.17% compared to Monnet’s 52.05%. Additionally, Monnet shows a minor edge on first serve returns with 36.43% over Charaeva's 34.9%.
• Breakpoint resilience: Under pressure, Monnet has a marginal edge in saving breakpoints, with a rate of 48.19%, fractionally above Charaeva's 48.04%, indicating a potential level-headedness in crucial moments.
• Overall performance: Over the past year, Charaeva has a slightly higher win rate at 61.25%, compared to Monnet's 57.63%, suggesting a stronger overall gameplay consistency.
• Surface preferences: Charaeva performs best on clay courts with a 66% win rate, whereas Monnet excels on hard courts with a 64% win rate. This match's surface may provide an advantage depending on the conditions.
• Tournament level experience: Both players primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments above $10K, with Charaeva showing a slightly better success rate at 61.33% compared to Monnet's 55.77%. Does this higher win rate signal an upper hand? Likely, as experience often correlates with performance.
• Quality of opposition: Charaeva and Monnet have faced opponents with similar average ranks (291.98 for Charaeva and 297.03 for Monnet), making their comparative records in the past year a reliable indicator of skill level.
• Deciding set success: In the last year, Charaeva has emerged victorious in 54% of deciding sets, a better ratio than Monnet's 47%, which could be decisive in a closely fought battle.
• Breakpoint conversion rate: Recently, Charaeva has been more effective at converting breakpoints, with a rate of 40.42%, slightly surpassing Monnet’s 37.96%.

Editorial Prediction (September 13, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the upcoming tennis match between Charaeva and Monnet, several key statistics offer insight into their relative strengths and potential outcomes.

Charaeva demonstrates greater efficiency in second serve points and breakpoints conversion, both subtly influential in match dynamics. Additionally, her preference for clay courts aligns with a notable winning percentage on that surface.

Monnet, while showing a slight edge in return games on first serves and performing robustly under breakpoint pressure, faces a marginal drawback in overall match wins and breakpoint conversion rates.

Most statistical indicators point to Charaeva having the upper hand, particularly when considering her recent form, opponent quality, and deciding set performance.

Conclusively, Charaeva appears slightly more likely to secure victory in this matchup, poised to leverage her recent consistency and crucial point-winning ability.